Predicting Stage Progression in Binet Stage a Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia.

INTRODUCTION: The variable clinical course of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) and the lack of consensus on follow-up and treatment strategies have necessitated a prognostic model for identifying high-risk patients at the time of diagnosis. METHODS: We involved a retrospective analysis of demographic and clinical characteristics of 212 patients diagnosed with Binet stage A CLL and thus eligible for risk stratification by both the International Prognostic Score for Early-stage CLL (IPS-E) and the alternative IPS-E (AIPS-E). We evaluated the applicability of these prognostic indices in our young, Middle Eastern cohort (median age 59 at diagnosis). RESULTS: During the study period with a median follow-up of 3.5 years, 67 patients (32 %) experienced progression to first treatment and cumulative incidence of treatment was 13 % at 1 year and 28 % at 3 years after diagnosis. Sixty-nine (51 % of the 136 with a known value) patients harbored an unmutated immunoglobulin heavy chain gene (IGHV) and 21 (10 %) an 11q or 17p deletion with 11 % lacking FISH results. For each early-stage CLL prognostic index, more patients were identified as high-risk for disease progression (51 % of 124 patients evaluable for IPS-E; 42 % of 109 patients evaluable for AIPS-E) than intermediate-risk and low-risk. Multivariable models involving the IPS-E and AIPS-E components revealed that unmutated IGHV and elevated absolute lymphocyte count were significant predictors of earlier treatment requirement. Both prognostic scores were discriminative of time to first treatment (log-rank p < 0.001; c-statistics of 0.74 for IPS-E and 0.69 for AIPS-E). CONCLUSION: Although clarity on clinical behavior with regard to initiation of treatment remains elusive, IPS-E and AIPS-E are valuable tools for identifying high-risk patients.

Evaluation of the CLL-IPI and IPS-E Prognostic Indices in a Young Middle Eastern Population with Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia: A Retrospective Analysis at the Kuwait Cancer Control Center.

INTRODUCTION: The Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia International Prognostic Index (CLL-IPI) is a powerful prognostic tool validated in multiple Western populations. However, its utility in the young Middle Eastern population is unknown. METHODOLOGY: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 152 unselected patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) diagnosed between 2008 and 2022 at the Kuwait Cancer Control Center, which serves as the sole cancer center in Kuwait. The evaluation of the CLL-IPI was based on the assessment of event-free survival (EFS) across the entire cohort. Subsequently, we compared the CLL-IPI with the International Prognostic Score for Early-stage patients (IPS-E) in order to predict the time to first treatment specifically within the subgroup of patients diagnosed with early-stage disease. RESULTS: The median age of the study cohort was 59.9 years (IQR, 53.1-68.8). The 5-year EFS rates for the low, intermediate, and high/very high-risk categories were approximately 82%, 34%, and 23%, respectively, p < 0.001 (C-statistic = 0.67). On multivariate analysis, advanced stage and unmated IGHV status were independent prognostic factors of EFS. In those with early-stage disease, cumulative 5-year treatment incidence rates for the low, intermediate, and high/very high-risk categories based on the CLL-IPI score were approximately 8%, 55%, and 55%, respectively, p = 0.001 (C-statistic = 0.70). However, based on the IPS-E score, the cumulative 5-year treatment incidence rates for the low, intermediate, and high-risk categories were approximately 0%, 10%, and 60%, respectively, p < 0.001 (C-statistic = 0.73). CONCLUSIONS: The CLL-IPI and the IPS-E are valid stratification tool in our young Middle Eastern population.

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia in a young population.

INTRODUCTION: Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is uncommon in the Middle East. There is limited data on the prognosis and of CLL in this region. METHODS: This was a retrospective study (2009-2020) of consecutively diagnosed patients with CLL at Kuwait Cancer Center. The diagnosis, prognosis, treatment indication, response criteria, and adverse events were recorded per International Workshop on Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia guidelines. RESULTS: A total of 219 patients with CLL were enrolled in the study. The crude annual incidence is 0.4 per 100,000. The median follow-up was 120 months. The median age at diagnosis was 59 years, and 32 % of patients with CLL were ≤ 55 years of age. Prognostic fluorescence in situ hybridization data were available in 213 cases. del (13q14/13q34) was found in 80 (31 %) cases, del (11q) in 23 (10.7 %) cases, del (17p) in 11 (5.16 %) cases, and trisomy 12 in 46 (21.5 %) cases. IGHV mutation status was available in 92 cases, 45 of which (48.9) were mutated and 47 (51.1 %) of which were not. The median progression-free survival (PFS) for the entire cohort was 178 months [95 % CI: 145-NE].· The median OS was 203 months [95 % CI: 145-NE]. The median PFS for the IGHV mutated cases was not reached [95 % CI: 178 - NE]; while the median PFS for the unmutated CLL cases was 24 months [95 % CI: 124 - NE]. CONCLUSION: CLL is a rare hematological malignancy in the Middle East. Our CLL cohort is younger and expresses less del13q, but has similar rates of IGHV mutations.